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League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 27 October 2026 · 19:45

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

3–0
1Bray Wanderers1.93
XDraw3.80
2Kerry FC3.73

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bray Wanderers meet Kerry FC on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Carlisle Grounds (Bray). Bray Wanderers (48%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: tip and prediction
Result
Bray Wanderers to win
1.93
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.52
48%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bray Wanderers or draw (1X) – 74% probability, top odds 1.30.

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Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.933.803.73
Market average1.883.603.43
Lowest odds1.753.253.06
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1678.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.641.5958.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.272.1942.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.562.3938.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5260.0%
BTTS – no2.402.2840.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bray Wanderers 1–1 Kerry FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bray Wanderers 3rd (54 points), Kerry FC 4th (52 points).
  • Form in the competition: Bray Wanderers 16W 9D 12L (69:54), Kerry FC 14W 10D 13L (46:43).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Bray Wanderers 14W 2D 2L, goals 42–22.
  • Absences: Bray Wanderers 0, Kerry FC 0.

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

Bray Wanderers48%
Draw25%
Kerry FC26%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.20
Likely
Bray Wanderers or draw (1X)73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.52
Likely
Both sides to score: yes60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.0% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.64
Possible
Bray Wanderers to win48.3% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.93
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.27
Outsider
Both sides to score: no40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.1% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.56
Outsider
Kerry FC to win26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.73
Outsider
Draw25.2% · fair odds 3.97 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.9%
2 : 19.5%
1 : 08.7%
2 : 07.6%
1 : 26.8%
0 : 16.2%

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: who is missing

Bray Wanderers

  • No reported absences

Kerry FC

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Bray Wanderers

1 NovLBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctWKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctLFinn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
9 OctDBray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Kerry FC

27 OctLBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctLKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctDKerry FC 1–1 Cork City
9 OctWCobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
2 OctWFinn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Home and away

Bray Wanderers at home18 matches: 10W 6D 2L, goals 44–23
Kerry FC away18 matches: 5W 4D 9L, goals 21–26

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Bray Wanderers are 3rd with 54 points after 36 matches (15W 9D 12L), whereas Kerry FC are 4th with 52 points (14W 10D 12L).
  2. Attack and defence. Bray Wanderers have scored 1.9 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Kerry FC average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Bray Wanderers: 16W 9D 12L, goals 69–54; Kerry FC: 14W 10D 13L, goals 46–43.
  4. Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Bray Wanderers have 14 wins, Kerry FC have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 42–22.

What to expect

Bray Wanderers should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 18; Bray Wanderers 14 wins, 2 draws, Kerry FC 2 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.6 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bray Wanderers 69–54, Kerry FC 46–43.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
  5. Absent: Bray Wanderers 0, Kerry FC 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Bray Wanderers are missing: no absences. Kerry FC are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: team stats compared

Bray WanderersKerry FC
41%Form59%
53%Attack47%
29%Defence71%
71%Head to head29%
47%Goals53%
50.8%Overall49.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Bray WanderersLWWLD
Kerry FCLLDWW

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: head to head

All matches
14Bray Wanderers
2Draws
2Kerry FC
27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
11/9/26 · Kerry FC 0–1 Bray Wanderers
31/7/26 · Bray Wanderers 0–4 Kerry FC
22/5/26 · Kerry FC 2–2 Bray Wanderers
27/3/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry FC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.4%

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

Our result tip is Bray Wanderers to win (odds 1.93), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Bray Wanderers or draw (1X).

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

Our probabilities: Bray Wanderers to win 48%, a draw 25%, Kerry FC to win 26%.

What time and where is kick-off?

27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Carlisle Grounds, Bray.

Who will be missing?

Bray Wanderers: no absences. Kerry FC: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.64); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.27).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.