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Jupiler Pro League · Matchweek 9 · 24 October 2026 · 15:00

Antwerp vs Charleroi: tip, odds and prediction – 24 October 2026, Jupiler Pro League

LWLLL
3–0
1Antwerp4.25
XDraw4.15
2Charleroi1.86

Best available odds · Updated 24/10/26, 12:03

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Antwerp meet Charleroi on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Bosuilstadion (Deurne), refereed by Wim Smet, Belgium. Charleroi (52%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Antwerp vs Charleroi: tip and prediction
Result
Charleroi to win
1.86
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Charleroi plus over 2.5 goals
2.98
34% · combo fair price
52%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Charleroi (X2) – 76% probability, top odds 1.26.

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Antwerp vs Charleroi: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Antwerp are 11th with 10 points after 10 matches (3W 1D 6L), whereas Charleroi are 4th with 24 points (8W 0D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Antwerp have scored 1.5 and conceded 2.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Charleroi average 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Antwerp: 2W 1D 5L, goals 12–20; Charleroi: 7W 0D 1L, goals 16–7.
  4. Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, Antwerp have 8 wins, Charleroi have 12 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 34–34.

What to expect

Charleroi should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 24; Antwerp 8 wins, 4 draws, Charleroi 12 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Antwerp 12–20, Charleroi 16–7.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
  5. Absent: Antwerp 0, Charleroi 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Antwerp are missing: no absences. Charleroi are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Antwerp vs Charleroi: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds4.254.151.86
Market average4.003.881.80
Lowest odds3.823.701.73
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2177.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.741.7055.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.182.1244.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.892.7334.4%
BTTS – yes1.671.6356.9%
BTTS – no2.202.1543.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Antwerp 1–1 Charleroi, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Antwerp 11th (10 points), Charleroi 4th (24 points).
  • Form in the competition: Antwerp 2W 1D 5L (12:20), Charleroi 7W 0D 1L (16:7).
  • H2H: 24 matches: Antwerp 8W 4D 12L, goals 34–34.
  • Absences: Antwerp 0, Charleroi 0.

Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?

Antwerp24%
Draw24%
Charleroi52%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Antwerp vs Charleroi: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals77.3% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.24
Likely
Draw or Charleroi (X2)76.5% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.6% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.47
Likely
Both sides to score: yes56.9% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.6% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.74
Possible
Charleroi to win52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.4% · fair odds 2.25 · best 2.18
Outsider
Both sides to score: no43.1% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.4% · fair odds 2.91 · best 2.89
Outsider
Draw24.2% · fair odds 4.13 · best 4.15
Outsider
Antwerp to win23.5% · fair odds 4.26 · best 4.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.76 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.1%
0 : 110.1%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 28.9%
1 : 06.4%
2 : 16.1%

Antwerp vs Charleroi: who is missing

Antwerp

  • No reported absences

Charleroi

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Antwerp vs Charleroi: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Club Brugge KV109-0-126:827
2Union St. Gilloise108-2-029:726
3Gent108-1-119:625
4Charleroi108-0-221:1224
5Anderlecht106-1-313:1119
6Genk104-3-318:1415
7Lommel United104-3-313:1115
8KVC Westerlo104-2-425:2514
9Standard Liège103-3-415:1612
10Zulte Waregem103-2-512:1611
11Antwerp103-1-616:2210
12SK Beveren103-1-613:2010
13OH Leuven102-3-510:179
14KV Mechelen92-3-410:179
15St. Truiden102-2-618:218
16RAAL La Louvière102-1-713:237
17Cercle Brugge101-3-613:226
18Kortrijk91-1-73:194

Recent matches

Antwerp

1 NovLCercle Brugge 2–1 Antwerp
24 OctWAntwerp 3–0 Charleroi
11 OctLKVC Westerlo 5–1 Antwerp
20 SeptLAntwerp 0–2 Union St. Gilloise
13 SeptLClub Brugge KV 3–1 Antwerp

Charleroi

1 NovWCharleroi 5–2 RAAL La Louvière
24 OctLAntwerp 3–0 Charleroi
11 OctWStandard Liège 0–1 Charleroi
19 SeptWCharleroi 3–2 Cercle Brugge
13 SeptWZulte Waregem 0–1 Charleroi

Home and away

Antwerp at home5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 10–11
Charleroi away5 matches: 4W 0D 1L, goals 6–4

Antwerp vs Charleroi: team stats compared

AntwerpCharleroi
0%Form100%
23%Attack77%
29%Defence71%
7%Head to head93%
27%Goals73%
18.8%Overall81.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

AntwerpLWLLL
CharleroiWLWWW

Antwerp vs Charleroi: head to head

All matches
8Antwerp
4Draws
12Charleroi
24/10/26 · Antwerp 3–0 Charleroi
10/5/26 · Antwerp 0–1 Charleroi
10/4/26 · Charleroi 2–1 Antwerp
25/1/26 · Antwerp 0–2 Charleroi
17/8/25 · Charleroi 1–1 Antwerp
29/5/25 · Antwerp 1–2 Charleroi

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.6%

Antwerp vs Charleroi: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Antwerp vs Charleroi?

Our result tip is Charleroi to win (odds 1.86), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or Charleroi (X2).

Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?

Our probabilities: Antwerp to win 24%, a draw 24%, Charleroi to win 52%.

What time and where is kick-off?

24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Bosuilstadion, Deurne. Referee: Wim Smet, Belgium.

Who will be missing?

Antwerp: no absences. Charleroi: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.74); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.18).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.1%); after that come 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen 4 NovStandard Liège vs SK Beveren 6 NovKVC Westerlo vs Charleroi 7 NovOH Leuven vs KV Mechelen 7 NovAntwerp vs Lommel United 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.