Bet with MINO CASINO →AFC Wimbledon are at home to Blackpool on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AFC Wimbledon are 18th with 13 points after 13 matches (3W 4D 6L), whereas Blackpool are 19th with 12 points (3W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. AFC Wimbledon have scored 0.7 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Blackpool average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AFC Wimbledon: 3W 4D 6L, goals 9–21; Blackpool: 3W 3D 6L, goals 17–21.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: AFC Wimbledon 9–21, Blackpool 17–21.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: AFC Wimbledon 0, Blackpool 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Blackpool (X2)
Alternative pick: Draw or Blackpool (X2) (probability 65%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AFC Wimbledon are missing: no absences. Blackpool are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.70 | 3.45 | 2.50 |
| Market average | 2.64 | 3.40 | 2.46 |
| Lowest odds | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.99 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.85 | 2.81 | 32.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.18 | 2.15 | 43.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:25. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Blackpool, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: AFC Wimbledon 18th (13 points), Blackpool 19th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: AFC Wimbledon 3W 4D 6L (9:21), Blackpool 3W 3D 6L (17:21).
- Absences: AFC Wimbledon 0, Blackpool 0.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: who is missing
AFC Wimbledon
- No reported absences
Blackpool
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 |
| 4 |  Luton | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
AFC Wimbledon
Home and away
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AFC WimbledonLDLLLBlackpoolDLWLLReturns calculator
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
AFC Wimbledon or draw (1X) (1.57); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
Our probabilities: AFC Wimbledon to win 35%, a draw 27%, Blackpool to win 38%.
What time and where is kick-off?
14 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London.
Who will be missing?
AFC Wimbledon: no absences. Blackpool: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 0–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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