Czech Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sparta Praha meet Baník Ostrava on 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at epet ARENA (Prague), refereed by J. Wulkan. Sparta Praha (77%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.23 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Market average | 1.18 | 6.28 | 11.32 |
| Lowest odds | 1.15 | 5.32 | 8.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 83.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.41 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.70 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.76 | 52.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 16:46. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 9.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sparta Praha 2–0 Baník Ostrava, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 1W 0D 0L (5:0), Baník Ostrava 2W 0D 0L (11:1).
- Absences: Sparta Praha 0, Baník Ostrava 0.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: who is missing
Sparta Praha
- No reported absences
Baník Ostrava
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. Sparta Praha have scored 5.0 and conceded 0.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Baník Ostrava average 5.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Baník Ostrava: 2W 0D 0L, goals 11–1.
What to expect
Sparta Praha should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.23, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sparta Praha 5–0, Baník Ostrava 11–1.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Absent: Sparta Praha 0, Baník Ostrava 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.74). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sparta Praha are missing: no absences. Baník Ostrava are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Sparta PrahaWBaník OstravaWWReturns calculator
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Our result tip is Sparta Praha to win (odds 1.23), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Sparta Praha or draw (1X).
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Our probabilities: Sparta Praha to win 77%, a draw 15%, Baník Ostrava to win 8%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at epet ARENA, Prague. Referee: J. Wulkan.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Praha: no absences. Baník Ostrava: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 66% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 34% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 2.00).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.9%); after that come 3–0 (10.3%) and 1–0 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.