Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Peterborough are at home to Luton on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at ABAX Stadium (Peterborough). Our favourites are Luton (47%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Peterborough vs Luton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Peterborough are 22nd with 10 points after 13 matches (2W 4D 7L), whereas Luton are 4th with 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Peterborough have scored 0.9 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Luton average 2.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Peterborough: 2W 4D 6L, goals 11–21; Luton: 6W 2D 4L, goals 24–20.
- Head to head. In their 11 meetings so far, Peterborough have 3 wins, Luton have 6 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–18.
What to expect
Luton should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 11; Peterborough 3 wins, 2 draws, Luton 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Peterborough 11–21, Luton 24–20.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: Peterborough 0, Luton 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 65%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Peterborough are missing: no absences. Luton are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Peterborough vs Luton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.49 | 4.06 | 2.02 |
| Market average | 3.30 | 3.83 | 1.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.87 | 3.36 | 1.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.49 | 1.45 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.58 | 35.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.15 | 43.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.63 | 35.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 09:44. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Peterborough 1–1 Luton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Peterborough 22nd (10 points), Luton 4th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Peterborough 2W 4D 6L (11:21), Luton 6W 2D 4L (24:20).
- H2H: 11 matches: Peterborough 3W 2D 6L, goals 9–18.
- Absences: Peterborough 0, Luton 0.
Who will win Peterborough vs Luton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Peterborough vs Luton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Peterborough vs Luton: who is missing
Peterborough
- No reported absences
Luton
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Peterborough vs Luton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Luton | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Peterborough
Home and away
Peterborough vs Luton: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
PeterboroughLDLDWLutonWWWWLPeterborough vs Luton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Peterborough vs Luton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Peterborough vs Luton?
Peterborough +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Peterborough vs Luton?
Our probabilities: Peterborough to win 28%, a draw 24%, Luton to win 47%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at ABAX Stadium, Peterborough.
Who will be missing?
Peterborough: no absences. Luton: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.49); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.70).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.0%); after that come 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (7.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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