Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Oxford United are at home to Stockport County on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Kassam Stadium (Oxford). Our favourites are Stockport County (47%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Oxford United vs Stockport County: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Oxford United are 3rd with 23 points after 12 matches (6W 5D 1L), whereas Stockport County are 2nd with 26 points (8W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Oxford United have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Stockport County average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Oxford United: 5W 4D 1L, goals 18–10; Stockport County: 7W 2D 3L, goals 24–12.
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Oxford United have 1 win, Stockport County have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–0.
What to expect
Stockport County should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Oxford United 1 win, 0 draws, Stockport County 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Oxford United 18–10, Stockport County 24–12.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Oxford United 0, Stockport County 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Oxford United are missing: no absences. Stockport County are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Oxford United vs Stockport County: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.50 | 3.94 | 2.03 |
| Market average | 3.35 | 3.69 | 1.99 |
| Lowest odds | 2.97 | 3.26 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.60 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.27 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.36 | 39.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Oxford United 1–1 Stockport County, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Oxford United 3rd (23 points), Stockport County 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Oxford United 5W 4D 1L (18:10), Stockport County 7W 2D 3L (24:12).
- H2H: 1 match: Oxford United 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0.
- Absences: Oxford United 0, Stockport County 0.
Who will win Oxford United vs Stockport County?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Oxford United vs Stockport County: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Oxford United vs Stockport County: who is missing
Oxford United
- No reported absences
Stockport County
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Oxford United vs Stockport County: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 |
| 4 |  Luton | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Oxford United
Home and away
Oxford United vs Stockport County: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Oxford UnitedDWDWDStockport CountyWLDWWOxford United vs Stockport County: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Oxford United vs Stockport County: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Oxford United vs Stockport County?
Our result tip is Stockport County to win (odds 2.03), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Draw or Stockport County (X2).
Who will win Oxford United vs Stockport County?
Our probabilities: Oxford United to win 28%, a draw 25%, Stockport County to win 47%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Kassam Stadium, Oxford.
Who will be missing?
Oxford United: no absences. Stockport County: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.63); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.33).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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