Bet with MINO CASINO →Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion is on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at Stadium MK (Milton Keynes). We think Milton Keynes Dons (59%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.60 | 4.15 | 5.10 |
| Market average | 1.59 | 4.03 | 5.03 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.63 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.22 | 42.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.48 | 37.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.07 | 44.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Burton Albion, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Milton Keynes Dons 11th (18 points), Burton Albion 15th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Milton Keynes Dons 4W 6D 3L (22:20), Burton Albion 4W 5D 5L (18:21).
- Absences: Milton Keynes Dons 0, Burton Albion 0.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: who is missing
Milton Keynes Dons
- No reported absences
Burton Albion
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 |
| 4 |  Luton | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Milton Keynes Dons
Home and away
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Milton Keynes Dons are 11th with 18 points after 13 matches (4W 6D 3L), whereas Burton Albion are 15th with 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Milton Keynes Dons have scored 1.7 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Burton Albion average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Milton Keynes Dons: 4W 6D 3L, goals 22–20; Burton Albion: 4W 5D 5L, goals 18–21.
What to expect
Milton Keynes Dons should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Milton Keynes Dons 22–20, Burton Albion 18–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Milton Keynes Dons 0, Burton Albion 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.63). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Milton Keynes Dons are missing: no absences. Burton Albion are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Milton Keynes DonsWWWLWBurton AlbionLWDDLReturns calculator
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Our result tip is Milton Keynes Dons to win (odds 1.60), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Milton Keynes Dons or draw (1X).
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Our probabilities: Milton Keynes Dons to win 59%, a draw 23%, Burton Albion to win 18%.
What time and where is kick-off?
14 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Stadium MK, Milton Keynes.
Who will be missing?
Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Burton Albion: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.63); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.25).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.2%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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