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League One · Matchweek 8 · 27 October 2026 · 19:45

Leicester vs Wigan: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, League One

3–0
WLLLW
1Leicester1.42
XDraw5.20
2Wigan7.50

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Leicester are at home to Wigan on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at King Power Stadium (Leicester). Our favourites are Leicester (67%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Leicester vs Wigan: tip and prediction
Result
Leicester to win
1.42
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.52
Combo
Leicester plus over 2.5 goals
2.06
48% · combo fair price
67%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Leicester or draw (1X) – 87% probability, top odds 1.13.

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Leicester vs Wigan: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Leicester are 10th with 19 points after 13 matches (5W 4D 4L), whereas Wigan are 21st with 10 points (3W 1D 9L).
  2. Attack and defence. Leicester have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Wigan average 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Leicester: 4W 3D 4L, goals 17–17; Wigan: 2W 1D 8L, goals 8–17.
  4. Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Leicester have 3 wins, Wigan have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–2.

What to expect

Leicester should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 4; Leicester 3 wins, 1 draw, Wigan 0 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Leicester 17–17, Wigan 8–17.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
  5. Absent: Leicester 0, Wigan 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.63). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Leicester are missing: no absences. Wigan are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Leicester vs Wigan: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.425.207.50
Market average1.384.876.93
Lowest odds1.344.405.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1382.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.521.4862.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.642.4837.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.342.2441.8%
BTTS – yes1.751.6955.0%
BTTS – no2.202.0645.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Leicester 2–0 Wigan, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Leicester 10th (19 points), Wigan 21st (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Leicester 4W 3D 4L (17:17), Wigan 2W 1D 8L (8:17).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Leicester 3W 1D 0L, goals 9–2.
  • Absences: Leicester 0, Wigan 0.

Who will win Leicester vs Wigan?

Leicester67%
Draw19%
Wigan13%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Leicester vs Wigan: more markets and betting tips

Leicester or draw (1X)86.5% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.2% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
Leicester to win67.4% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.42
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.6% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.2% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.63
Possible
Both sides to score: yes55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.75
Possible
Both sides to score: no45.0% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.8% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.34
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.4% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.64
Outsider
Draw19.1% · fair odds 5.23 · best 5.20
Outsider
Wigan to win13.5% · fair odds 7.42 · best 7.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 11.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.4%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 010.3%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.9%
1 : 18.5%
3 : 07.9%
3 : 17.5%

Leicester vs Wigan: who is missing

Leicester

  • No reported absences

Wigan

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Leicester vs Wigan: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Huddersfield138-4-127:1128
2Stockport County148-2-426:1426
3Oxford United126-5-120:1123
4Luton137-2-426:2023
5Plymouth147-2-521:1923
6Reading136-4-325:1322
7Bradford136-4-310:822
8Cambridge United145-6-321:2121
9Sheffield Wednesday135-5-322:1420
10Leicester135-4-422:1919
11Milton Keynes Dons134-6-322:2018
12Mansfield Town125-3-420:1818
13Wycombe134-6-321:2318
14Leyton Orient135-2-619:1417
15Burton Albion144-5-518:2117
16Stevenage124-4-417:1316
17Notts County123-5-413:1414
18AFC Wimbledon133-4-69:2113
19Blackpool123-3-617:2112
20Doncaster133-3-714:2212
21Wigan133-1-911:2210
22Peterborough132-4-711:2310
23Barnsley122-3-712:229
24Bromley132-3-813:339

Recent matches

Leicester

31 OctDLeicester 2–2 Stevenage
27 OctWLeicester 3–0 Wigan
24 OctLLuton 2–1 Leicester
20 OctWBromley 0–4 Leicester
17 OctWLeicester 2–1 Doncaster

Wigan

31 OctWWigan 3–2 Bromley
27 OctLLeicester 3–0 Wigan
24 OctLHuddersfield 2–1 Wigan
20 OctLOxford United 2–1 Wigan
17 OctWWigan 1–0 Reading

Home and away

Leicester at home7 matches: 3W 1D 3L, goals 11–12
Wigan away7 matches: 0W 1D 6L, goals 4–12

Leicester vs Wigan: team stats compared

LeicesterWigan
70%Form30%
75%Attack25%
46%Defence54%
88%Head to head13%
75%Goals25%
68.0%Overall32.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

LeicesterDWLWW
WiganWLLLW

Leicester vs Wigan: head to head

All matches
3Leicester
1Draws
0Wigan
27/10/26 · Leicester 3–0 Wigan
4/1/20 · Leicester 2–0 Wigan
1/4/14 · Wigan 2–2 Leicester
14/9/13 · Leicester 2–0 Wigan

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Leicester vs Wigan: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Leicester vs Wigan?

Our result tip is Leicester to win (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Leicester or draw (1X).

Who will win Leicester vs Wigan?

Our probabilities: Leicester to win 67%, a draw 19%, Wigan to win 13%.

What time and where is kick-off?

27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at King Power Stadium, Leicester.

Who will be missing?

Leicester: no absences. Wigan: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.52); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.64).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.75).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Huddersfield vs Luton 3 NovWigan vs Mansfield Town 3 NovOxford United vs Reading 4 NovLeicester vs Bradford 14 NovWigan vs Barnsley 14 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.