Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Leicester are at home to Wigan on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at King Power Stadium (Leicester). Our favourites are Leicester (67%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Leicester vs Wigan: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Leicester are 10th with 19 points after 13 matches (5W 4D 4L), whereas Wigan are 21st with 10 points (3W 1D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Leicester have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Wigan average 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Leicester: 4W 3D 4L, goals 17–17; Wigan: 2W 1D 8L, goals 8–17.
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Leicester have 3 wins, Wigan have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–2.
What to expect
Leicester should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Leicester 3 wins, 1 draw, Wigan 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Leicester 17–17, Wigan 8–17.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Leicester 0, Wigan 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.63). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Leicester are missing: no absences. Wigan are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Leicester vs Wigan: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.42 | 5.20 | 7.50 |
| Market average | 1.38 | 4.87 | 6.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.34 | 4.40 | 5.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.48 | 37.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.24 | 41.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.69 | 55.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.06 | 45.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Leicester 2–0 Wigan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Leicester 10th (19 points), Wigan 21st (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Leicester 4W 3D 4L (17:17), Wigan 2W 1D 8L (8:17).
- H2H: 4 matches: Leicester 3W 1D 0L, goals 9–2.
- Absences: Leicester 0, Wigan 0.
Who will win Leicester vs Wigan?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Leicester vs Wigan: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Leicester vs Wigan: who is missing
Leicester
- No reported absences
Wigan
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Leicester vs Wigan: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 | |
| 19 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 | |
| 24 | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Leicester
Home and away
Leicester vs Wigan: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Leicester vs Wigan: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Leicester vs Wigan: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Leicester vs Wigan?
Our result tip is Leicester to win (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Leicester or draw (1X).
Who will win Leicester vs Wigan?
Our probabilities: Leicester to win 67%, a draw 19%, Wigan to win 13%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at King Power Stadium, Leicester.
Who will be missing?
Leicester: no absences. Wigan: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.52); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.64).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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