Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Worcester City are at home to Chorley on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at St. George's Lane (Worcester). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Worcester City vs Chorley: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.63), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Worcester City 0, Chorley 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Chorley (X2)
Alternative pick: Draw or Chorley (X2) (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Worcester City are missing: no absences. Chorley are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Worcester City vs Chorley: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.65 | 3.75 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.47 | 2.45 |
| Lowest odds | 2.40 | 3.38 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.23 | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.95 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.84 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.63 | 1.63 | 56.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.10 | 43.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Worcester City 1–1 Chorley, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Absences: Worcester City 0, Chorley 0.
Who will win Worcester City vs Chorley?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Worcester City vs Chorley: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Worcester City vs Chorley: who is missing
Worcester City
- No reported absences
Chorley
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Worcester City vs Chorley: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Worcester City vs Chorley?
Our result tip is Draw or Chorley (X2) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.63). The safer pick is Draw or Chorley (X2).
Who will win Worcester City vs Chorley?
Our probabilities: Worcester City to win 37%, a draw 26%, Chorley to win 37%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at St. George's Lane, Worcester.
Who will be missing?
Worcester City: no absences. Chorley: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.63).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 0–1 (8.5%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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