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FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

United of Manchester vs Altrincham: tip, odds and prediction – 20 October 2026, FA Cup

United of Manchester
2–6
Altrincham
1United of Manchester3.40
XDraw4.00
2Altrincham2.03

Best available odds · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

United of Manchester are at home to Altrincham on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Broadhurst Park (Manchester). Our favourites are Altrincham (47%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

United of Manchester vs Altrincham: tip and prediction
Result
Altrincham to win
2.03
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
47%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Altrincham (X2) – 71% probability, top odds 1.33.

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United of Manchester vs Altrincham: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Altrincham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
    2. Absent: United of Manchester 0, Altrincham 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    United of Manchester are missing: no absences. Altrincham are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: the odds compared

    Match result1X2
    Best available odds3.404.002.03
    Market average3.153.751.93
    Lowest odds2.863.501.88
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.191.1778.6%
    Over 2.5 goals1.591.5658.9%
    Under 2.5 goals2.382.2441.1%
    Over 3.5 goals2.462.4237.7%
    BTTS – yes1.551.5459.9%
    BTTS – no2.402.3040.1%

    Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.3%.

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    Match at a glance

    • Likely result: United of Manchester 1–1 Altrincham, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: United of Manchester 0, Altrincham 0.

    Who will win United of Manchester vs Altrincham?

    United of Manchester29%
    Draw24%
    Altrincham47%

    We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: more markets and betting tips

    Over 1.5 goals78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.19
    Likely
    Draw or Altrincham (X2)71.2% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.33
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals62.3% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.50
    Likely
    Both sides to score: yes59.9% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.55
    Possible
    Over 2.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.59
    Possible
    Altrincham to win46.9% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.03
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.38
    Outsider
    Both sides to score: no40.1% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.40
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals37.7% · fair odds 2.65 · best 2.46
    Outsider
    United of Manchester to win28.8% · fair odds 3.47 · best 3.40
    Outsider
    Draw24.2% · fair odds 4.13 · best 4.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

    Corners and cards

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 2.09 · Under 1.67
    probability of over 44.5%

    Most likely correct scores

    1 : 110.8%
    1 : 29.4%
    0 : 18.3%
    0 : 27.3%
    2 : 17.0%
    1 : 06.2%

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: who is missing

    United of Manchester

    • No reported absences

    Altrincham

    • No reported absences

    This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.3%

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for United of Manchester vs Altrincham?

    Our result tip is Altrincham to win (odds 2.03), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Altrincham (X2).

    Who will win United of Manchester vs Altrincham?

    Our probabilities: United of Manchester to win 29%, a draw 24%, Altrincham to win 47%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Broadhurst Park, Manchester.

    Who will be missing?

    United of Manchester: no absences. Altrincham: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.59); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.55).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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