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KNVB Cup · round 64 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Telstar vs Almere City FC: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, KNVB Cup

0–2
Almere City FC
1Telstar2.09
XDraw3.90
2Almere City FC3.40

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Telstar meet Almere City FC on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid), refereed by J. van der Laan. Telstar (46%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Telstar vs Almere City FC: tip and prediction
Result
Telstar to win
2.09
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.45
46%chance of the result
65%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Telstar or draw (1X) – 71% probability, top odds 1.36.

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Telstar vs Almere City FC: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.093.903.40
Market average2.013.693.17
Lowest odds1.913.442.76
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1183.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.451.4265.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.752.6634.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.202.0745.1%
BTTS – yes1.401.3966.8%
BTTS – no2.882.7933.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Telstar 1–1 Almere City FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Telstar 0, Almere City FC 0.

Who will win Telstar vs Almere City FC?

Telstar46%
Draw25%
Almere City FC29%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Telstar vs Almere City FC: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals83.5% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.14
Likely
Telstar or draw (1X)70.9% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Both sides to score: yes66.8% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.45
Likely
Under 3.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.74
Possible
Telstar to win45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.09
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.20
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.8% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.75
Outsider
Both sides to score: no33.2% · fair odds 3.01 · best 2.88
Outsider
Almere City FC to win29.1% · fair odds 3.44 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw25.0% · fair odds 4.00 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.85 · Under 1.85
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 19.9%
2 : 19.2%
1 : 27.2%
1 : 06.8%
2 : 26.6%
2 : 06.3%

Telstar vs Almere City FC: who is missing

Telstar

  • No reported absences

Almere City FC

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Telstar vs Almere City FC: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Telstar should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
    2. Absent: Telstar 0, Almere City FC 0.

    Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

    Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.74). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Telstar are missing: no absences. Almere City FC are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Telstar vs Almere City FC: team stats compared

    TelstarAlmere City FC
    50%Head to head50%
    56%Goals44%
    53.0%Overall47.0%

    These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.6%

    Telstar vs Almere City FC: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Telstar vs Almere City FC?

    Our result tip is Telstar to win (odds 2.09), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Telstar or draw (1X).

    Who will win Telstar vs Almere City FC?

    Our probabilities: Telstar to win 46%, a draw 25%, Almere City FC to win 29%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid. Referee: J. van der Laan.

    Who will be missing?

    Telstar: no absences. Almere City FC: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.45); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.75).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 67% probability (odds 1.40).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.9%); after that come 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–2 (7.2%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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