KNVB Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna Sittard is on 28 October 2026 · 17:45 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam); S. van der Eijk takes charge. We think Sparta Rotterdam (49%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
What to expect
Sparta Rotterdam should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sparta Rotterdam are missing: no absences. Fortuna Sittard are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.89 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.63 | 3.57 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.30 | 3.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.22 | 41.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.47 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 17:26. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Fortuna Sittard, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: who is missing
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
Fortuna Sittard
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
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Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our result tip is Sparta Rotterdam to win (odds 2.00), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Sparta Rotterdam or draw (1X).
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam to win 49%, a draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. Referee: S. van der Eijk.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Fortuna Sittard: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.