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DFB-Pokal · round of 32 · 28 October 2026 · 17:00

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: tip, odds and prediction – 28 October 2026, DFB-Pokal

1SC Paderborn 077.11
XDraw5.40
2VfB Stuttgart1.56

Best available odds · Updated 28/10/26, 16:29

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart is on 28 October 2026 · 17:00 at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn); F. Badstübner takes charge. We think VfB Stuttgart (65%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: tip and prediction
Handicap
VfB Stuttgart -1 (Asian handicap)
1.91
Goals
Both teams to score
1.57
Combo
VfB Stuttgart plus over 2.5 goals
2.04
49% · combo fair price
56%Chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or VfB Stuttgart (X2) – 84% probability, top odds 1.17.

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SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Attack and defence. SC Paderborn 07 have scored 4.0 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; VfB Stuttgart average 4.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. SC Paderborn 07: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2; VfB Stuttgart: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
  3. Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, SC Paderborn 07 have 0 wins, VfB Stuttgart have 4 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–7.

What to expect

VfB Stuttgart should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 5; SC Paderborn 07 0 wins, 1 draw, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.8 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: SC Paderborn 07 4–2, VfB Stuttgart 4–0.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
  5. Absent: SC Paderborn 07 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

SC Paderborn 07 are missing: no absences. VfB Stuttgart are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds7.115.401.56
Market average6.124.831.44
Lowest odds5.004.201.33
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.1084.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.3967.1%
Under 2.5 goals3.112.8332.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.112.0047.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5260.9%
BTTS – no2.452.3739.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 16:29. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: SC Paderborn 07 1W 0D 0L (4:2), VfB Stuttgart 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
  • H2H: 5 matches: SC Paderborn 07 0W 1D 4L, goals 2–7.
  • Absences: SC Paderborn 07 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

SC Paderborn 0716%
Draw19%
VfB Stuttgart65%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.12
Likely
Draw or VfB Stuttgart (X2)84.5% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 2.5 goals67.1% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
VfB Stuttgart to win65.0% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.56
Likely
Both sides to score: yes60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.91
Possible
Over 3.5 goals47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.11
Outsider
Both sides to score: no39.1% · fair odds 2.55 · best 2.45
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals32.9% · fair odds 3.04 · best 3.11
Outsider
Draw19.5% · fair odds 5.14 · best 5.40
Outsider
SC Paderborn 07 to win15.5% · fair odds 6.44 · best 7.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.90 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 29.6%
0 : 28.8%
1 : 18.2%
1 : 37.6%
0 : 17.5%
0 : 36.9%

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: who is missing

SC Paderborn 07

  • No reported absences

VfB Stuttgart

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: team stats compared

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
0%Defence100%
9%Head to head91%
25%Goals75%
33.5%Overall66.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

SC Paderborn 07W
VfB StuttgartW

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: head to head

All matches
0SC Paderborn 07
1Draws
4VfB Stuttgart
28/10/26 · SC Paderborn 07 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
10/10/26 · SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart
31/1/23 · SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
23/5/15 · SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
20/12/14 · VfB Stuttgart 0–0 SC Paderborn 07

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: questions and answers

What is the best tip for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart -1 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Both teams to score (1.57).

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our probabilities: SC Paderborn 07 to win 16%, a draw 19%, VfB Stuttgart to win 65%.

What time and where is kick-off?

28 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. Referee: F. Badstübner.

Who will be missing?

SC Paderborn 07: no absences. VfB Stuttgart: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 3.11).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.6%); after that come 0–2 (8.8%) and 1–1 (8.2%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.