Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SC Freiburg meet VfL Wolfsburg on 28 October 2026 · 17:00 at Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg), refereed by S. Storks. SC Freiburg (57%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. SC Freiburg have scored 5.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; VfL Wolfsburg average 3.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SC Freiburg: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1; VfL Wolfsburg: 0W 1D 0L, goals 3–3.
- Head to head. In their 33 meetings so far, SC Freiburg have 14 wins, VfL Wolfsburg have 14 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 50–61.
What to expect
SC Freiburg should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.94), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 33; SC Freiburg 14 wins, 5 draws, VfL Wolfsburg 14 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: SC Freiburg 5–1, VfL Wolfsburg 3–3.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Absent: SC Freiburg 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 3.5 goals (probability 49%, best available odds 2.09). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
SC Freiburg are missing: no absences. VfL Wolfsburg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.72 | 4.50 | 4.56 |
| Market average | 1.65 | 4.26 | 4.41 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 2.93 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.09 | 1.94 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 65.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.72 | 34.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 16:29. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: SC Freiburg 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: SC Freiburg 1W 0D 0L (5:1), VfL Wolfsburg 0W 1D 0L (3:3).
- H2H: 33 matches: SC Freiburg 14W 5D 14L, goals 50–61.
- Absences: SC Freiburg 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: who is missing
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
VfL Wolfsburg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SC FreiburgWVfL WolfsburgDSC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: head to head
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SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our result tip is SC Freiburg to win (odds 1.72), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.94). The safer pick is SC Freiburg or draw (1X).
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our probabilities: SC Freiburg to win 57%, a draw 22%, VfL Wolfsburg to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg. Referee: S. Storks.
Who will be missing?
SC Freiburg: no absences. VfL Wolfsburg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 68% (odds 1.40); under 2.5 goals is at 32% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 66% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.5%); after that come 1–1 (8.6%) and 2–0 (7.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.