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Taça da Liga · quarter-final · 29 October 2026 · 18:45

SC Braga vs Famalicão: tip, odds and prediction – 29 October 2026, Taça da Liga

1SC Braga1.77
XDraw3.66
2Famalicão5.50

Best available odds · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SC Braga are at home to Famalicão on 29 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga), with J. Gonçalves as the referee. Our favourites are SC Braga (55%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: tip and prediction
Result
SC Braga to win
1.77
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
Combo
SC Braga plus over 2.5 goals
3.31
30% · combo fair price
55%chance of the result
56%chance for the goals tip
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: SC Braga or draw (1X) – 82% probability, top odds 1.17.

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SC Braga vs Famalicão: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.773.665.50
Market average1.683.485.09
Lowest odds1.623.264.37
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.421.3668.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.252.1543.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.6756.3%
Over 3.5 goals4.103.8724.1%
BTTS – yes2.102.0246.0%
BTTS – no1.851.7254.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: SC Braga 1–0 Famalicão, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 15 matches: SC Braga 5W 8D 2L, goals 29–22.
  • Absences: SC Braga 0, Famalicão 0.

Who will win SC Braga vs Famalicão?

SC Braga55%
Draw27%
Famalicão18%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: more markets and betting tips

SC Braga or draw (1X)81.7% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
Under 3.5 goals75.9% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.2% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 2.5 goals56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.75
Possible
SC Braga to win55.1% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.77
Possible
Both sides to score: no54.0% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.85
Possible
Both sides to score: yes46.0% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.25
Outsider
Draw26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.66
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.1% · fair odds 4.15 · best 4.10
Outsider
Famalicão to win18.3% · fair odds 5.48 · best 5.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 014.5%
2 : 011.6%
1 : 111.6%
2 : 19.3%
0 : 09.1%
0 : 17.3%

SC Braga vs Famalicão: who is missing

SC Braga

  • No reported absences

Famalicão

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, SC Braga have 5 wins, Famalicão have 2 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 29–22.

What to expect

SC Braga should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (14.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 15; SC Braga 5 wins, 8 draws, Famalicão 2 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 44%.
  4. Absent: SC Braga 0, Famalicão 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 54%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

SC Braga are missing: no absences. Famalicão are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: team stats compared

SC BragaFamalicão
75%Head to head25%
56%Goals44%
65.5%Overall34.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: head to head

All matches
5SC Braga
8Draws
2Famalicão
29/10/26 · SC Braga 2–2 Famalicão
19/4/26 · SC Braga 2–2 Famalicão
6/12/25 · Famalicão 1–2 SC Braga
25/4/25 · Famalicão 1–1 SC Braga
16/12/24 · SC Braga 3–3 Famalicão
18/1/24 · Famalicão 1–2 SC Braga

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

SC Braga vs Famalicão: questions and answers

What is the best tip for SC Braga vs Famalicão?

Our result tip is SC Braga to win (odds 1.77), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is SC Braga or draw (1X).

Who will win SC Braga vs Famalicão?

Our probabilities: SC Braga to win 55%, a draw 27%, Famalicão to win 18%.

What time and where is kick-off?

29 October 2026, kick-off at 18:45, at Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga. Referee: J. Gonçalves.

Who will be missing?

SC Braga: no absences. Famalicão: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 44% (odds 2.25); under 2.5 goals is at 56% (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 46% probability (odds 2.10).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–0 (14.5%); after that come 2–0 (11.6%) and 1–1 (11.6%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.