Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rot-Weiß Essen are at home to RB Leipzig on 27 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadion an der Hafenstraße (Essen), with F. Exner as the referee. Our favourites are RB Leipzig (80%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. Rot-Weiß Essen have scored 2.0 and conceded 0.0 goals per game on average in this competition; RB Leipzig average 6.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rot-Weiß Essen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0; RB Leipzig: 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–0.
- Head to head. In their 2 meetings so far, Rot-Weiß Essen have 0 wins, RB Leipzig have 2 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–6.
What to expect
RB Leipzig should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–3, about 4 goals combined, and 0–2 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.21, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 2; Rot-Weiß Essen 0 wins, 0 draws, RB Leipzig 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0, RB Leipzig 6–0.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 74%.
- Absent: Rot-Weiß Essen 0, RB Leipzig 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.74). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rot-Weiß Essen are missing: no absences. RB Leipzig are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 14.14 | 8.50 | 1.21 |
| Market average | 12.23 | 7.71 | 1.16 |
| Lowest odds | 9.45 | 6.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.06 | 87.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 74.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.82 | 3.62 | 25.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.68 | 55.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.74 | 1.72 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.01 | 46.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 16:22. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rot-Weiß Essen 0–2 RB Leipzig, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Rot-Weiß Essen 1W 0D 0L (2:0), RB Leipzig 1W 0D 0L (6:0).
- H2H: 2 matches: Rot-Weiß Essen 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–6.
- Absences: Rot-Weiß Essen 0, RB Leipzig 0.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: who is missing
Rot-Weiß Essen
- No reported absences
RB Leipzig
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Rot-Weiß EssenWRB LeipzigWRot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?
RB Leipzig -2 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 3.5 goals (1.73).
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?
Our probabilities: Rot-Weiß Essen to win 8%, a draw 12%, RB Leipzig to win 80%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen. Referee: F. Exner.
Who will be missing?
Rot-Weiß Essen: no absences. RB Leipzig: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 74% (odds 1.28); under 2.5 goals is at 26% (odds 3.82).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.74).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (9.6%); after that come 0–3 (9.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.