Danish Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Roskilde v Aarhus is on 28 October 2026 · 19:00; S. Funder takes charge. We think Aarhus (68%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.70 | 5.50 | 1.38 |
| Market average | 6.60 | 5.10 | 1.38 |
| Lowest odds | 6.50 | 4.70 | 1.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.13 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.26 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 46.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Roskilde 0–2 Aarhus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Roskilde 3W 0D 0L (12:1), Aarhus 1W 0D 0L (6:1).
- Absences: Roskilde 0, Aarhus 0.
Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Roskilde vs Aarhus: who is missing
Roskilde
- No reported absences
Aarhus
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. Roskilde have scored 4.0 and conceded 0.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Aarhus average 6.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Roskilde: 3W 0D 0L, goals 12–1; Aarhus: 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–1.
What to expect
Aarhus should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Roskilde 12–1, Aarhus 6–1.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Roskilde 0, Aarhus 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.58). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Roskilde are missing: no absences. Aarhus are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RoskildeWWWAarhusWReturns calculator
Roskilde vs Aarhus: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Our result tip is Aarhus to win (odds 1.38), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Aarhus (X2).
Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Our probabilities: Roskilde to win 14%, a draw 18%, Aarhus to win 68%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at to be confirmed. Referee: S. Funder.
Who will be missing?
Roskilde: no absences. Aarhus: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (10.3%); after that come 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.