Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel v 1899 Hoffenheim is on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Holstein-Stadion (Kiel); B. Dankert takes charge. We think 1899 Hoffenheim (64%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. Holstein Kiel have scored 2.0 and conceded 0.0 goals per game on average in this competition; 1899 Hoffenheim average 4.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Holstein Kiel: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0; 1899 Hoffenheim: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Holstein Kiel have 0 wins, 1899 Hoffenheim have 4 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–14.
What to expect
1899 Hoffenheim should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.98), and our probability for it is 50%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Holstein Kiel 0 wins, 0 draws, 1899 Hoffenheim 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Holstein Kiel 2–0, 1899 Hoffenheim 4–0.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Absent: Holstein Kiel 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Holstein Kiel are missing: no absences. 1899 Hoffenheim are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.00 | 4.97 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 5.80 | 4.68 | 1.48 |
| Lowest odds | 5.70 | 4.33 | 1.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.34 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.15 | 29.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.88 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.44 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.62 | 2.59 | 35.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Holstein Kiel 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Holstein Kiel 1W 0D 0L (2:0), 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
- H2H: 4 matches: Holstein Kiel 0W 0D 4L, goals 5–14.
- Absences: Holstein Kiel 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: who is missing
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
1899 Hoffenheim
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Holstein KielW1899 HoffenheimWHolstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: head to head
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Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our result tip is 1899 Hoffenheim to win (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.98). The safer pick is Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim (X2).
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our probabilities: Holstein Kiel to win 16%, a draw 20%, 1899 Hoffenheim to win 64%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. Referee: B. Dankert.
Who will be missing?
Holstein Kiel: no absences. 1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 70% (odds 1.38); under 2.5 goals is at 30% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.4%); after that come 1–1 (7.9%) and 0–2 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.