KNVB Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Helmond Sport meet Willem II on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at MySteel Stadion (Helmond), refereed by M. Vos. Willem II (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.06 |
| Market average | 3.34 | 3.64 | 1.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.28 | 1.87 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.43 | 37.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.56 | 2.53 | 36.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Helmond Sport 1–1 Willem II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Helmond Sport 0, Willem II 0.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: who is missing
Helmond Sport
- No reported absences
Willem II
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
What to expect
Willem II should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Helmond Sport 0, Willem II 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Helmond Sport are missing: no absences. Willem II are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
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Helmond Sport vs Willem II: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
Our result tip is Willem II to win (odds 2.06), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Willem II (X2).
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
Our probabilities: Helmond Sport to win 28%, a draw 25%, Willem II to win 47%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at MySteel Stadion, Helmond. Referee: M. Vos.
Who will be missing?
Helmond Sport: no absences. Willem II: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.53); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (7.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.