Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Harrogate Town are at home to Bury on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at CNG Stadium (Harrogate). Our favourites are Harrogate Town (54%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Harrogate Town vs Bury: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
What to expect
Harrogate Town should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Harrogate Town 0, Bury 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Harrogate Town are missing: no absences. Bury are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Harrogate Town vs Bury: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.73 | 4.40 | 4.33 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 3.95 | 4.00 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.60 | 3.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.57 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.22 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.45 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.59 | 58.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.20 | 41.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Harrogate Town 1–1 Bury, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Harrogate Town 0, Bury 0.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Harrogate Town vs Bury: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Harrogate Town vs Bury: who is missing
Harrogate Town
- No reported absences
Bury
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Harrogate Town vs Bury: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Harrogate Town vs Bury?
Our result tip is Harrogate Town to win (odds 1.73), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Harrogate Town or draw (1X).
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?
Our probabilities: Harrogate Town to win 54%, a draw 23%, Bury to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at CNG Stadium, Harrogate.
Who will be missing?
Harrogate Town: no absences. Bury: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.65).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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