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KNVB Cup · round 64 · 29 October 2026 · 20:00

Groningen vs Emmen: tip, odds and prediction – 29 October 2026, KNVB Cup

0–2
Emmen
1Groningen1.44
XDraw5.20
2Emmen7.00

Best available odds · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Groningen meet Emmen on 29 October 2026 · 20:00 at Euroborg (Groningen), refereed by E. Blank. Groningen (66%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Groningen vs Emmen: tip and prediction
Handicap
Groningen -1 (Asian handicap)
1.69
Goals
Both teams to score
1.53
Combo
Groningen plus over 2.5 goals
1.99
50% · combo fair price
57%Chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Groningen or draw (1X) – 85% probability, top odds 1.15.

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Groningen vs Emmen: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Groningen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 68%.
    2. Absent: Groningen 0, Emmen 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Groningen are missing: no absences. Emmen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Groningen vs Emmen: the odds compared

    Match result1X2
    Best available odds1.445.207.00
    Market average1.394.856.13
    Lowest odds1.344.505.50
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.121.0885.4%
    Over 2.5 goals1.391.3667.9%
    Under 2.5 goals3.102.8832.1%
    Over 3.5 goals2.031.9547.8%
    BTTS – yes1.531.5260.9%
    BTTS – no2.402.3639.1%

    Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.9%.

    All bookmakers →

    Match at a glance

    • Likely result: Groningen 2–1 Emmen, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Groningen 0, Emmen 0.

    Who will win Groningen vs Emmen?

    Groningen66%
    Draw19%
    Emmen15%

    We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

    Groningen vs Emmen: more markets and betting tips

    Over 1.5 goals85.4% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.12
    Likely
    Groningen or draw (1X)84.9% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.15
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.39
    Likely
    Groningen to win66.0% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.44
    Likely
    Both sides to score: yes60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.53
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals52.2% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.82
    Possible
    Over 3.5 goals47.8% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.03
    Outsider
    Both sides to score: no39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.40
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals32.1% · fair odds 3.11 · best 3.10
    Outsider
    Draw19.0% · fair odds 5.27 · best 5.20
    Outsider
    Emmen to win15.1% · fair odds 6.64 · best 7.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

    Corners and cards

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 1.94 · Under 1.84
    probability of over 48.7%

    Most likely correct scores

    2 : 19.6%
    2 : 08.7%
    1 : 18.0%
    3 : 17.7%
    1 : 07.2%
    3 : 07.0%

    Groningen vs Emmen: who is missing

    Groningen

    • No reported absences

    Emmen

    • No reported absences

    This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Groningen vs Emmen: team stats compared

    GroningenEmmen
    85%Head to head15%
    67%Goals33%
    76.0%Overall24.0%

    These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.9%

    Groningen vs Emmen: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Groningen vs Emmen?

    Groningen -1 (Asian handicap) (1.69); Both teams to score (1.53).

    Who will win Groningen vs Emmen?

    Our probabilities: Groningen to win 66%, a draw 19%, Emmen to win 15%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    29 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Euroborg, Groningen. Referee: E. Blank.

    Who will be missing?

    Groningen: no absences. Emmen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 68% (odds 1.39); under 2.5 goals is at 32% (odds 3.10).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.53).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.6%); after that come 2–0 (8.7%) and 1–1 (8.0%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

    18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.