EFL Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Fulham v Crystal Palace is on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Craven Cottage (London); S. Hooper takes charge. We think Fulham (56%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. Fulham have scored 3.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Crystal Palace average 3.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Fulham: 2W 0D 0L, goals 6–2; Crystal Palace: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Fulham have 3 wins, Crystal Palace have 8 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 20–25.
What to expect
Fulham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Fulham 3 wins, 6 draws, Crystal Palace 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Fulham 6–2, Crystal Palace 3–0.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.64). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Fulham are missing: no absences. Crystal Palace are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.74 | 4.13 | 4.76 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 4.03 | 4.63 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.62 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.28 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Fulham 1–1 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Fulham 2W 0D 0L (6:2), Crystal Palace 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
- H2H: 17 matches: Fulham 3W 6D 8L, goals 20–25.
- Absences: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: who is missing
Fulham
- No reported absences
Crystal Palace
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FulhamWWCrystal PalaceWFulham vs Crystal Palace: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).
Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Our probabilities: Fulham to win 56%, a draw 24%, Crystal Palace to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Craven Cottage, London. Referee: S. Hooper.
Who will be missing?
Fulham: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.64); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.