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FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Forest Green vs Chesham United: tip, odds and prediction – 20 October 2026, FA Cup

Forest Green
5–0
Chesham United
1Forest Green1.25
XDraw6.40
2Chesham United13.00

Best available odds · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Forest Green meet Chesham United on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at The New Lawn (Nailsworth). Forest Green (76%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Forest Green vs Chesham United: tip and prediction
Result
Forest Green to win
1.25
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.50
Combo
Forest Green plus over 2.5 goals
1.82
55% · combo fair price
76%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Forest Green or draw (1X) – 92% probability, top odds 1.06. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Forest Green vs Chesham United: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.256.4013.00
Market average1.195.8911.11
Lowest odds1.145.008.29
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.151.1282.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.501.4563.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.632.5236.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.202.1343.0%
BTTS – yes2.032.0145.9%
BTTS – no1.731.7054.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Forest Green 2–0 Chesham United, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Absences: Forest Green 0, Chesham United 0.

Who will win Forest Green vs Chesham United?

Forest Green76%
Draw15%
Chesham United8%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Forest Green vs Chesham United: more markets and betting tips

Forest Green or draw (1X)91.7% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.15
Likely
Forest Green to win76.3% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 2.5 goals63.5% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals57.0% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.62
Possible
Both sides to score: no54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.73
Possible
Both sides to score: yes45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.03
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals43.0% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.20
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals36.5% · fair odds 2.74 · best 2.63
Outsider
Draw15.4% · fair odds 6.48 · best 6.40
Outsider
Chesham United to win8.3% · fair odds 12.05 · best 13.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

2 : 012.0%
3 : 010.2%
1 : 09.4%
2 : 19.0%
3 : 17.6%
1 : 17.1%

Forest Green vs Chesham United: who is missing

Forest Green

  • No reported absences

Chesham United

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Forest Green vs Chesham United: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Forest Green should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    At 1.25, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
    2. Absent: Forest Green 0, Chesham United 0.

    Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

    Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Forest Green are missing: no absences. Chesham United are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.6%

    Forest Green vs Chesham United: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Forest Green vs Chesham United?

    Our result tip is Forest Green to win (odds 1.25), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Forest Green or draw (1X).

    Who will win Forest Green vs Chesham United?

    Our probabilities: Forest Green to win 76%, a draw 15%, Chesham United to win 8%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at The New Lawn, Nailsworth.

    Who will be missing?

    Forest Green: no absences. Chesham United: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.63).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 46% probability (odds 2.03).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 2–0 (12.0%); after that come 3–0 (10.2%) and 1–0 (9.4%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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