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EFL Cup · round of 16 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, EFL Cup

1Fleetwood Town40.00
XDraw15.00
2Arsenal1.10

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Fleetwood Town meet Arsenal on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood), refereed by M. Salisbury. Arsenal (89%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: tip and prediction
Result
Arsenal to win
1.10
Goals
No to both teams scoring
1.50
Combo
Arsenal plus over 2.5 goals
1.45
69% · combo fair price
89%chance of the result
64%chance for the goals tip
0–3likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Arsenal (X2) – 97% probability, top odds 1.02. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds40.0015.001.10
Market average30.2612.351.07
Lowest odds14.447.911.03
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.101.0787.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.321.2972.8%
Under 2.5 goals3.603.4427.2%
Over 3.5 goals1.801.7553.9%
BTTS – yes2.702.5836.0%
BTTS – no1.501.4564.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Fleetwood Town 0–3 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Fleetwood Town 3W 0D 0L (6:0), Arsenal 1W 0D 0L (4:2).
  • Absences: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

Fleetwood Town3%
Draw8%
Arsenal89%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Arsenal (X2)96.5% · fair odds 1.04 · best 1.02
Likely
Arsenal to win88.7% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals87.4% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 2.5 goals72.8% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.32
Likely
Both sides to score: no64.0% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 3.5 goals53.9% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 3.5 goals46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.10
Outsider
Both sides to score: yes36.0% · fair odds 2.78 · best 2.70
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals27.2% · fair odds 3.67 · best 3.60
Outsider
Draw7.9% · fair odds 12.74 · best 15.00
Outsider
Fleetwood Town to win3.5% · fair odds 28.86 · best 40.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.5%
Cardsline 2.5 cards
Over 2.04 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.0%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 313.5%
0 : 212.4%
0 : 410.9%
0 : 17.6%
0 : 57.1%
1 : 36.7%

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: who is missing

Fleetwood Town

  • No reported absences

Arsenal

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Attack and defence. Fleetwood Town have scored 2.0 and conceded 0.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Arsenal average 4.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. Fleetwood Town: 3W 0D 0L, goals 6–0; Arsenal: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.

What to expect

Arsenal should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 0–3, about 3 goals combined, and 0–3 (13.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

At 1.10, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: No to both teams scoring (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Fleetwood Town 6–0, Arsenal 4–2.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 73%.
  3. Absent: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Fleetwood Town are missing: no absences. Arsenal are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: team stats compared

Fleetwood TownArsenal
75%Form25%
60%Attack40%
100%Defence0%
67.5%Overall32.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Fleetwood TownWWW
ArsenalW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

Our result tip is Arsenal to win (odds 1.10), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Arsenal (X2).

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

Our probabilities: Fleetwood Town to win 3%, a draw 8%, Arsenal to win 89%.

What time and where is kick-off?

27 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood. Referee: M. Salisbury.

Who will be missing?

Fleetwood Town: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 73% (odds 1.32); under 2.5 goals is at 27% (odds 3.60).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 36% probability (odds 2.70).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–3 (13.5%); after that come 0–2 (12.4%) and 0–4 (10.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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