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Taça da Liga · quarter-final · 28 October 2026 · 20:30

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: tip, odds and prediction – 28 October 2026, Taça da Liga

1FC Porto1.36
XDraw5.10
2Académico Viseu8.89

Best available odds · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Porto meet Académico Viseu on 28 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio Do Dragão (Porto), refereed by S. Guelho. FC Porto (70%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: tip and prediction
Result
FC Porto to win
1.36
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
Combo
FC Porto plus over 2.5 goals
2.16
46% · combo fair price
70%chance of the result
64%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Porto or draw (1X) – 89% probability, top odds 1.07.

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FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.365.108.89
Market average1.344.978.43
Lowest odds1.334.807.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1978.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6557.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2142.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5736.2%
BTTS – yes2.001.9547.4%
BTTS – no1.781.7652.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: FC Porto 2–0 Académico Viseu, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 6 matches: FC Porto 5W 1D 0L, goals 14–3.
  • Absences: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

FC Porto70%
Draw19%
Académico Viseu11%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: more markets and betting tips

FC Porto or draw (1X)88.9% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.21
Likely
FC Porto to win70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.51
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Both sides to score: no52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.78
Possible
Both sides to score: yes47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.2% · fair odds 2.76 · best 2.63
Outsider
Draw18.9% · fair odds 5.30 · best 5.10
Outsider
Académico Viseu to win11.1% · fair odds 8.98 · best 8.89
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.5%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 012.7%
1 : 011.5%
2 : 19.5%
3 : 09.3%
1 : 18.6%
3 : 17.0%

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: who is missing

FC Porto

  • No reported absences

Académico Viseu

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, FC Porto have 5 wins, Académico Viseu have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–3.

What to expect

FC Porto should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 6; FC Porto 5 wins, 1 draw, Académico Viseu 0 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
  4. Absent: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

FC Porto are missing: no absences. Académico Viseu are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: team stats compared

FC PortoAcadémico Viseu
100%Head to head0%
87%Goals13%
87.0%Overall13.0%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: head to head

All matches
5FC Porto
1Draws
0Académico Viseu
29/8/26 · Académico Viseu 0–3 FC Porto
8/2/23 · Académico Viseu 0–1 FC Porto
25/1/23 · FC Porto 3–0 Académico Viseu
17/7/21 · FC Porto 3–2 Académico Viseu
12/2/20 · FC Porto 3–0 Académico Viseu
4/2/20 · Académico Viseu 1–1 FC Porto

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: questions and answers

What is the best tip for FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

Our result tip is FC Porto to win (odds 1.36), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is FC Porto or draw (1X).

Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

Our probabilities: FC Porto to win 70%, a draw 19%, Académico Viseu to win 11%.

What time and where is kick-off?

28 October 2026, kick-off at 20:30, at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto. Referee: S. Guelho.

Who will be missing?

FC Porto: no absences. Académico Viseu: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 47% probability (odds 2.00).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (12.7%); after that come 1–0 (11.5%) and 2–1 (9.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.