KNVB Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Excelsior '31 meet ADO Den Haag on 27 October 2026 · 17:45 at Sportpark De Koerbelt (Rijssen), refereed by C. Ruperti. ADO Den Haag (79%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 13.50 | 8.00 | 1.22 |
| Market average | 11.92 | 7.06 | 1.17 |
| Lowest odds | 9.50 | 6.30 | 1.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 88.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 74.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.59 | 25.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.67 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.70 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.02 | 45.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 17:25. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Excelsior '31 0–2 ADO Den Haag, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Absences: Excelsior '31 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: who is missing
Excelsior '31
- No reported absences
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
What to expect
ADO Den Haag should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–3, about 4 goals combined, and 0–2 (9.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.22, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 74%.
- Absent: Excelsior '31 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Excelsior '31 are missing: no absences. ADO Den Haag are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Excelsior '31WWADO Den HaagReturns calculator
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
Our result tip is ADO Den Haag to win (odds 1.22), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Draw or ADO Den Haag (X2).
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
Our probabilities: Excelsior '31 to win 8%, a draw 13%, ADO Den Haag to win 79%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen. Referee: C. Ruperti.
Who will be missing?
Excelsior '31: no absences. ADO Den Haag: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 74% (odds 1.28); under 2.5 goals is at 26% (odds 3.80).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (9.3%); after that come 0–3 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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