Danish Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Esbjerg are at home to FC Nordsjælland on 28 October 2026 · 16:00 at Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg), with S. Putros as the referee. Our favourites are FC Nordsjælland (64%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. Esbjerg have scored 5.3 and conceded 0.3 goals per game on average in this competition; FC Nordsjælland average 3.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Esbjerg: 3W 0D 0L, goals 16–1; FC Nordsjælland: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
What to expect
FC Nordsjælland should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Esbjerg 16–1, FC Nordsjælland 3–0.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: Esbjerg 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Esbjerg are missing: no absences. FC Nordsjælland are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.67 | 5.00 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 5.85 | 4.56 | 1.43 |
| Lowest odds | 5.40 | 4.20 | 1.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.57 | 36.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.16 | 43.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 12:53. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 9.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Esbjerg 1–2 FC Nordsjælland, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Esbjerg 3W 0D 0L (16:1), FC Nordsjælland 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
- Absences: Esbjerg 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.
Who will win Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: who is missing
Esbjerg
- No reported absences
FC Nordsjælland
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
EsbjergWWWFC NordsjællandWReturns calculator
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland?
FC Nordsjælland -1 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland?
Our probabilities: Esbjerg to win 16%, a draw 20%, FC Nordsjælland to win 64%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 16:00, at Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg. Referee: S. Putros.
Who will be missing?
Esbjerg: no absences. FC Nordsjælland: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.70).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.8%); after that come 0–2 (9.3%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.