Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen is on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund); R. Schröder takes charge. We think Borussia Dortmund (68%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. Borussia Dortmund have scored 5.0 and conceded 0.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Werder Bremen average 3.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Borussia Dortmund: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Werder Bremen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Head to head. In their 34 meetings so far, Borussia Dortmund have 22 wins, Werder Bremen have 5 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 75–42.
What to expect
Borussia Dortmund should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 34; Borussia Dortmund 22 wins, 7 draws, Werder Bremen 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Borussia Dortmund 5–0, Werder Bremen 3–0.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 71%.
- Absent: Borussia Dortmund 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Borussia Dortmund are missing: no absences. Werder Bremen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.10 |
| Market average | 1.39 | 5.13 | 6.60 |
| Lowest odds | 1.30 | 4.43 | 5.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.32 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.22 | 29.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.85 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Borussia Dortmund 1W 0D 0L (5:0), Werder Bremen 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
- H2H: 34 matches: Borussia Dortmund 22W 7D 5L, goals 75–42.
- Absences: Borussia Dortmund 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: who is missing
Borussia Dortmund
- No reported absences
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Borussia DortmundWWerder BremenWBorussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: head to head
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Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Over 3.5 goals (1.95); Borussia Dortmund to win (1.43).
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Our probabilities: Borussia Dortmund to win 68%, a draw 18%, Werder Bremen to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Referee: R. Schröder.
Who will be missing?
Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Werder Bremen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 71% (odds 1.38); under 2.5 goals is at 29% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.2%); after that come 2–0 (8.0%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.