Taça da Liga
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Benfica are at home to GIL Vicente on 29 October 2026 · 20:45 at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisbon), with J. Bessa as the referee. Our favourites are Benfica (74%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Head to head. In their 23 meetings so far, Benfica have 19 wins, GIL Vicente have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 57–16.
What to expect
Benfica should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.28, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 23; Benfica 19 wins, 2 draws, GIL Vicente 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: Benfica 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Benfica are missing: no absences. GIL Vicente are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.28 | 6.46 | 10.05 |
| Market average | 1.25 | 5.83 | 9.31 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 5.32 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.01 | 2.84 | 32.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.99 | 47.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Benfica 2–0 GIL Vicente, roughly 4 goals in total.
- H2H: 23 matches: Benfica 19W 2D 2L, goals 57–16.
- Absences: Benfica 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: who is missing
Benfica
- No reported absences
GIL Vicente
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
Our result tip is Benfica to win (odds 1.28), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Benfica or draw (1X).
Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
Our probabilities: Benfica to win 74%, a draw 16%, GIL Vicente to win 10%.
What time and where is kick-off?
29 October 2026, kick-off at 20:45, at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisbon. Referee: J. Bessa.
Who will be missing?
Benfica: no absences. GIL Vicente: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.42); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 3.01).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.7%); after that come 3–0 (9.3%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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