Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen meet 1. FC Nürnberg on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at BayArena (Leverkusen), refereed by F. Zwayer. Bayer Leverkusen (74%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 4.0 and conceded 0.0 goals per game on average in this competition; 1. FC Nürnberg average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0; 1. FC Nürnberg: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Head to head. In their 11 meetings so far, Bayer Leverkusen have 7 wins, 1. FC Nürnberg have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–9.
What to expect
Bayer Leverkusen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (8.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.28, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 60%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 11; Bayer Leverkusen 7 wins, 2 draws, 1. FC Nürnberg 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bayer Leverkusen 4–0, 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Absent: Bayer Leverkusen 0, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bayer Leverkusen are missing: no absences. 1. FC Nürnberg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.28 | 6.39 | 9.00 |
| Market average | 1.27 | 6.05 | 8.78 |
| Lowest odds | 1.26 | 5.75 | 8.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.06 | 88.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.43 | 27.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.75 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.54 | 60.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.32 | 39.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Bayer Leverkusen 1W 0D 0L (4:0), 1. FC Nürnberg 0W 1D 0L (1:1).
- H2H: 11 matches: Bayer Leverkusen 7W 2D 2L, goals 22–9.
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: who is missing
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
1. FC Nürnberg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Bayer LeverkusenW1. FC NürnbergDBayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: head to head
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Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our result tip is Bayer Leverkusen to win (odds 1.28), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen to win 74%, a draw 16%, 1. FC Nürnberg to win 11%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at BayArena, Leverkusen. Referee: F. Zwayer.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. 1. FC Nürnberg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 73% (odds 1.31); under 2.5 goals is at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (8.9%); after that come 2–0 (8.9%) and 3–1 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.