Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1. FC Köln meet Union Berlin on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne), refereed by S. Jablonski. 1. FC Köln (52%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.84 | 3.94 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 3.69 | 4.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.32 | 3.49 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.36 | 2.25 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.35 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: 1. FC Köln 1–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Köln 1W 0D 0L (2:1), Union Berlin 1W 0D 0L (4:2).
- H2H: 21 matches: 1. FC Köln 7W 4D 10L, goals 29–27.
- Absences: 1. FC Köln 0, Union Berlin 0.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: who is missing
1. FC Köln
- No reported absences
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Attack and defence. 1. FC Köln have scored 2.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Union Berlin average 4.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Köln: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–1; Union Berlin: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, 1. FC Köln have 7 wins, Union Berlin have 10 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 29–27.
What to expect
1. FC Köln should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; 1. FC Köln 7 wins, 4 draws, Union Berlin 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: 1. FC Köln 2–1, Union Berlin 4–2.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: 1. FC Köln 0, Union Berlin 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
1. FC Köln are missing: no absences. Union Berlin are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
1. FC KölnWUnion BerlinW1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: questions and answers
What is the best tip for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
Our result tip is 1. FC Köln to win (odds 1.84), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56). The safer pick is 1. FC Köln or draw (1X).
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
Our probabilities: 1. FC Köln to win 52%, a draw 25%, Union Berlin to win 22%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne. Referee: S. Jablonski.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Köln: no absences. Union Berlin: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.36).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.